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CarboExtreme

CARBO-Extreme

The terrestrial Carbon cycle under Climate Variability and Extremes: a Pan-European synthesis

So far the impacts of climate variability and weather extremes have not been accounted for in the considerations of the future evolution, and vulnerability, of terrestrial carbon sinks.

Another crucial unknown in the terrestrial carbon cycle is the response of soil carbon to increasing temperature. There now are strong indications that temperature may not be the most important factor when other factors become limiting, such as water and substrate availability.

Our understanding and thus ability to predict effects of climate variability and extreme events on the terrestrial carbon cycle has so far been hampered by too little integration of experimental data. In particular it is important to integrate different observational quantities that yield information at different time-scales of variability.

Models are usually parameterized with data under normal conditions, resulting in parameterization that may not be valid under extreme conditions. Hence, there is strong need for integrated multi-data-model fusion approaches in the context of carbon cycling from short-term to centennial scales including extreme conditions.

CARBO-Extreme aims to

  • improve our understanding of the terrestrial carbon cycle in response to climate variability and extreme events
  • represent and apply this knowledge over Europe with predictive terrestrial carbon cycle modelling
  • interpret the model predictions in terms of vulnerability of the terrestrial – in particular soil – carbon pools under different scenarios and give advice to the European Commission and other stakeholders to support the development and implementation of climate, soil and ecosystem protection policies.
Main scientific objectives
  • Obtain a better and more comprehensive predictive understanding of terrestrial carbon cycle responses to climate variability and extreme weather events for European forest, grass- and peat-land and arable ecosystems.
  • Identify the most sensitive and vulnerable carbon pools and processes to climate variability and extreme events
  • Map the most likely trajectory of carbon pools in Europe over the 21st century and associated uncertainties introduced by model assumptions and setup (i.e. model structure, parameters and input, e.g. scenarios)

More info at: http://www.carbo-extreme.eu

Progetti di Ricerca: CarboExtreme
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